Article written by InvestNow – 17 July 2023
“Buy low, sell high” is the standard advice for generating capital returns on investment assets, however, this advice doesn’t provide practical guidance on how to actually spot the ideal buying and selling opportunities.
In today’s fast-moving and increasingly volatile market, it’s a full-time job attempting to time the market, and even still it’s a mighty difficult task that even the experts get wrong from time to time…
Volatility is and will always be a feature of investment markets, especially with higher-risk assets like equities and cryptocurrencies. While the degree of market uncertainty varies over time, investors must make decisions based on their own circumstances and risk tolerance, regardless of background conditions.
Dollar cost averaging (DCA) is an investment strategy where an investor regularly invests a fixed amount of money into a particular investment over time, regardless of the investment’s price fluctuations. This strategy aims to reduce the impact of short-term market volatility by spreading the investment purchases across different market conditions. Dollar cost averaging is commonly used by retail investors to invest in managed funds in New Zealand, offering several benefits.
Ignoring buy-sell spreads, and assuming some variation in unit pricing over a 5-month period, if two investors both had $1000 to invest in the same asset, and one investor invested 100% of the $1000 in a single transaction in month 1, and the other investor invested 20% ($200) each month from month 1 to month 5, the outcome would be as follows:
Time | Amount | Unit Price | Units Purchased |
---|---|---|---|
Month 1 | $200 | $2.00 | 100.00 |
Month 2 | $200 | $1.60 | 125.00 |
Month 3 | $200 | $1.80 | 111.11 |
Month 4 | $200 | $2.20 | 90.91 |
Month 5 | $200 | $2.00 | 100.00 |
Investment | Total Invested | Average Price | Total Units |
---|---|---|---|
Lump Sum | $1,000 | $2.00 | 500.00 |
DCA | $1,000 | $1.92 | 527.02 |
In this example, the investor that used the dollar cost averaging strategy ended up with 527.02 units which at the most recent unit price of $2 values the total investment at $1,054.04. However, the other investor who invested the whole $1,000 at a unit price of $2, their investment is still only worth $1000.
Now, imagine the above scenario on a bigger scale, over a longer time period. The compounding effects of dollar cost averaging has the potential to have a big impact on the value of an investor’s portfolio.
Of course, if instead, the fund price rose continuously each month in the scenario above, then the lump-sum investment would outperform the DCA method. Equally, however, if the fund price fell continuously, then the lump-sum investment would underperform comparatively.
Given volatility continues to be the norm in financial markets, DCA remains an effective way to manage risk over time and influence good, disciplined investment habits such as avoiding emotion-based reactions to market volatility.
It’s worth noting that while dollar cost averaging can be an effective strategy, it doesn’t guarantee profits or protect against losses. It’s essential to conduct thorough research on the managed funds you’re considering, and review their historical performance, fees, and the expertise of the fund managers. Consulting with a financial advisor can also provide personalised guidance tailored to your financial goals and risk tolerance.
43 Walding Street,
Palmerston North 4410
Professional Investment Services Manawatu
What we do
Who we are
Complaints handling and dispute resolution: If you are not satisfied with our financial advice service you can make a complaint by emailing admin@pismanawatu.co.nz, or by calling 06 355 4422. You can also write to us at PO Box 1255, Palmerston North 4440. When we receive a complaint, we will consider it using our internal complaints process:
• We will consider your complaint and let you know how we intend to resolve it. We may need to contact you to get further information about your complaint.
• We aim to resolve complaints within 5 working days of receiving them. If we can’t, we will contact you within that time to let you know we need more time to consider your complaint.
• We will contact you by phone or email to let you know whether we can resolve your complaint and how we propose to do so.
If we can’t resolve your complaint, or you aren’t satisfied with the way we propose to do so, you can contact Financial Services Complaints Limited (FSCL) – A Financial Ombudsman Service. FSCL provides a free, independent dispute resolution service that may help investigate or resolve your complaint if we haven’t been able to resolve your complaint to your satisfaction. You can contact FSCL by Phone – 0800 347 257 or complaints@fscl.org.nz.